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Cold Case Review of Sophie Tuscan du Plantier murder to proceed. **Threadbans lifted - see OP**

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,397 ✭✭✭almostover


    How can a case be sent to the DPP if it accuses a deceased person of being the murderer? Is there any legal precedent for that in Ireland? Irrespective of who is accused, I'm guessing many viable suspects are now dead, can anything be done by a DPP with such a case? Guessing that the right to a fair trial doesn't apply as the accused cannot defend themselves? And I'm guessing an accused suspect who is deceased is afforded the presumption of innocence?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,209 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    I discussed with another poster a while back - in the UK, the crown prosecution service doesn’t entertain files on dead suspects in any way shape or form - they don’t review the file - and certainly don’t provide a view on whether the person, if they were still alive, would face charges or not.
    I searched the DPP website but there’s nothing there relating to this aspect. Newspapers, at the time of Baileys death, reported that the Gardai were continuing their investigation on Bailey and would ultimately submit a file to the DPP.

    That’s all the information I have on that so feel free to add anything you can find- I’m more than happy to be corrected on the above but I simply haven’t seen anything to the contrary and nether did the other posters at the time of discussion



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,397 ✭✭✭almostover


    I searched myself and could find nothing. I'm not in the legal profession. Perhaps someone here is, and could shed some light on the situation.

    I'm almost certain the DPP couldn't proceed in anyway with a criminal trial. And like the CPS probably couldn't indicate if they would have proceeded if the accused were alive. To do so would essentially undermine the presumption of innocence.

    I'm guessing though that any new evidence from the cold case review that is strong enough to implicate a deceased person could be used in a civil trial for damages against the estate of the deceased. Which is the case for Ian Bailey would be for the sum total of diddly squat. But a wealthy family like Sophie's could use a civil case as a defacto means of achieving justice for her murder.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 35,342 ✭✭✭✭odyssey06


    This is from the Irish Times on the topic of DPP file if chief suspect is deceased:

    The Garda investigation into the murder of Sophie Toscan du Plantier will still result in a file being sent to the Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP) despite the death of chief suspect Ian Bailey, Garda sources have insisted. Sources said the DPP would still review the file and decide on whether charges would have been pursued if Mr Bailey, who died of a suspected heart attack last weekend, was still alive.

    They said they believed the DPP’s office would make a final determination on Mr Bailey as chief suspect after a Garda review of the case was fed into the criminal investigation. They added a final decision by the DPP had the potential to offer closure to Ms Toscan du Plantier’s family and for widespread public concern, especially in west Cork, to be allayed. The same process has occurred in some historical sexual abuse cases, with the DPP informing the Garda and victims the case files had contained sufficient evidence to ground a prosecution had the suspect not been deceased.

    https://www.irishtimes.com/crime-law/2024/01/23/dpp-to-make-final-decision-on-ian-bailey-as-suspect-for-murder/#:~:text=Mr%20Bailey%2C%20who%20remained%20the,was%20insufficient%20evidence%20to%20prosecute.

    "To follow knowledge like a sinking star..." (Tennyson's Ulysses)



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,209 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Well done and funny that article looks familiar - not sure if you’re getting the same vibe I am - in that there’s a “Hope” that the DPP will actually make a decision - that “Garda sources” “believe” the DPP will make a decision.
    Nothing definitive there is there although at first glance you could be forgiven for assuming it “will” happen - I’d be more confident of it if that came from an official DPP spokesperson TBH



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 556 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    It would have to be a damn sight more compelling evidence found for the DPP to even respond I would think, given the office has rejected taking the case previously. Outside of DNA (for which the results are not available yet) I don’t know what else they could have, unless it was a written signed confession or something.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,209 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    The Gardai will get some ribbing if they send a similar file to what they sent previously that’s for sure. If the evidence is Baileys “dark” writings, or a “just remembered after 25 years “ hearsay statement from someone in France then they will have serious questions to answer around just what have they been doing.

    I wonder how significant the timing of sending the items over to the FBI is, for forensic analysis. Are they at a point where they have a lot more circumstantial evidence on Bailey and want to see if they can obtain DNA etc- or have they stalled on that investigation and are now looking for new leads?

    Weak evidence on Bailey such as they have provided to date, coupled with no significant DNA evidence at the scene, still means they have a weak case against Bailey- not finding any other DNA at the scene doesn’t strengthen their case against Bailey, but in my view, an unidentified DNA at the scene, especially if blood, greatly weakens an already weak case.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,288 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    The CPS or our DPP couldn’t convict the dead person. But that doesn’t mean the police cannot follow through with an investigation to prove that the dead person is guilty and bring closure for the victim’s family. I linked to this case in Wales before



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,209 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    Naturally enough, DNA that cannot be explained away through let’s say normal interaction such as the housekeeper folding away her dressing gown, on the victim, if owner of this DNA is found, dead or still alive, could be a breakthrough and wouldn’t necessarily require a DPP “blessing” .

    It’s just that I’ve always got the impression, rightly or wrongly, that Gardai are still fixated by stupid outbursts of Bailey allegedly confessing or ash remains of a fire that may or may not have taken place post murder - great if it’s progressed to that level of forensic evidence - we’ll have to wait and see though



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,990 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    The Gardai have several problems: They've practically laid the ground stone to ruin a man's life. They've got no evidence at all for a conviction and they've got a credibility issue out of this whole mess they've caused.

    Now, with a man like Drew Harris they can't let this stigma go on. So either they find new evidence beyond reasonable doubt, or if not, try to state that they were right back then, and find more to implicate Bailey. Whether Bailey or the others are dead or alive doesn't matter in this situation. It's about the Gardai and putting or trying to put things right.

    So far, they've got nothing either way. They've gotten nowhere. No new DNA evidence, nothing new from their trip to France to question somebody in Sophie's husband's circles, nothing.

    So they're stuck again with the same discredit they've brought upon themselves.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,859 ✭✭✭Day Lewin


    But that one remark….that the Gárdaí now believe that Sophie was killed by someone known to her.

    Honestly, this sounds like something genuine….and NON-Bailey. It sounds much more like a person that she had actually met and spoken to and knew the name of. She did "know" some people on the peninsula….though none particularly well, given how little time she actually spent there.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,833 ✭✭✭FishOnABike


    Unless some new compelling evidence is uncovered I think the best the Gardaí can do is trot out the 'things were done differently back then, processes / procedures have been improved, lessons have been learned' line.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,209 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    You could interpret it that way- except that Gardai have always believed Bailey met and knew Sophie - and have spent nearly 30 years trying to prove it 😀

    If they have finally copped on and moved in a different direction then great maybe they’ll finally make progress.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,547 ✭✭✭OscarMIlde


    Also the Bandon tapes in my eyes show that while the Gardai were corrupt, they genuinely believed that Bailey must be guilty. They were hoping that they could get evidence of him confessing. While that still doesn't rule out one Garda or some senior Gardai covering up something , I think it does show that a coverup wasn't the intent of the rank and file Gardai on the case.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 556 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    I don’t think they ever claimed that Sophie knew Bailey though, just that he may have been infatuated with her from a single handshake. The way it is phrased indicated to me that it was clear she knew the perpetrator.

    However it could all just be rehashing the same old stuff too.

    Which article was that in, I missed it @Day Lewin



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,000 ✭✭✭Gussie Scrotch


    To me the question of an association with Bailey is key.

    Statistically and logically, it is far more likely that Sophie was killed by someone with whom she had some sort of association.

    Despite almost 30 years of intense scrutiny, speculation and manipulation, the Gardai have been unable to find any evidence of such. Absence of any association is, imo, a central pillar of the case for Bailey's innocence. It is one of the elements of the case that, if undermined, say by the discovery of a photograph of them together, or an entry naming the other in either's diary, or a note from one to the other, that would make me think again.

    I accept that Bailey knew of her and may have been briefly introduced, but I see no evidence of any association beyond that.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,288 ✭✭✭chooseusername


    Yes, "known to her" implies she knew her assailant, not the other way around.

    Dwyer was of the oppinion that the answer lay in the locality.

    Of the locals, she knew the Hellens, the Sullivans from Crookhaven, the Ungerers, the Bolgers- well Leo anyway.

    We have Leo Bolger's statement that he witnessed Alfie introduce Sophie to Bailey, but Alfie never fully corroborated this.

    Bill Hogan the cheesemaker chatted with her a bit when she called into his shop.

    As far as I can tell, that's about it. There's always the possibility that Sophie went down to the gate to confront a woman of course.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 556 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    Fully agree with this. I think the two things that completely undermine the case against Bailey (but which would need revisiting if evidence is found) are that he knew her, and the assault was sexual in nature. Both of these are very speculative, somewhat sensationalist in fact, but if incorrect then there is almost no chance that Bailey did it imo. It’s why people who believe he’s guilty push these points so much, as they know it falls apart without them. There is no evidence at all for either speculation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,000 ✭✭✭Gussie Scrotch


    Yes, the term "known to her" does suggest, to some extent, a departure from the Bailey theory.

    If "known to her denotes a suspect relatively close to Sophie, then it brings possible motive into sharper focus.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,000 ✭✭✭Gussie Scrotch


    Yes, and I would add a third element: The strong probability that the attack happened in the morning, in daylight. This, if correct, with the points you highlighted above, virtually rules him out.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,209 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    “Statistically and logically, it is far more likely that Sophie was killed by someone with whom she had some sort of association.”


    Yeah I’m of the view he “knew of her” and that’s it - no relationship of any kind whatsoever -and essentially in 30 years, there’s been no additional evidence to the contrary.

    And yeah I agree, given the viscousness of the assault, I don’t think this was a stranger killing another stranger, unless you adopt the assassination theory which essentially just someone she knows well outsourcing the act to someone else



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 387 ✭✭head82


    Do we know what has recently led the Gardai to believe that the assailant was "known to her"? That statement would imply they have uncovered some new information or evidence. I don't recall them having used that term at any other time in this investigation. I wonder if they have abandoned the initial belief that it was a local and decided to 'throw their net' further afield.

    "Known to her" is such a vague term to use and could apply to literally any of her contacts.. anywhere! Not just confined to the west Cork area.



  • Moderators, Politics Moderators Posts: 42,823 Mod ✭✭✭✭Seth Brundle


    At a guess, the nature of the attack would be more likely from someone who knew her rather than an outright psycho who found her at random. The attacker also had to have known that she was there. Her coming out of the house in her PJs & boots without keys would also probably lean away from a stranger. The inside of the house wasn't upturned from a fight or burglary.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 556 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    It would either imply they have found definitive evidence that she knew Bailey, or that they are considering somebody else. Either of those would be a massive revelation. And if so implies they really must be doing a stellar job on leaks, including not sharing much within the Garda themselves.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 556 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    Agreed, although I’ve never really understood why those who think Jules is covering for Bailey don’t believe it happened in the morning.
    It seems to me that many of the decisions made by the Garda, were to reduce/limit the suspect pool rather than any sort of reasoned justification.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 9,209 ✭✭✭Oscar_Madison
    #MEGA MAKE EUROPE GREAT AGAIN


    I know it’s a simple thing but bread and bread knife on the counter - French - that indicates breakfast time to me -touching the loaf of bread would have given them a potential clue - if hard, then left out all night- if relatively soft then more likely morning time she had that or at least was intending to have it - it’s not rocket science but unfortunately the egos of the Gardai took over on the morning and everybody had to wait for the “experts” to arrive to start the investigation



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,990 ✭✭✭tinytobe


    "Known her" would have meant, she easily would have opened up the door, she had a conversation with somebody, had time to put on boots, walk with him to the gates, still talking and not expecting anything. The killer struck her from behind, totally unexpected, not much noise. The killer may have had blood on his hands or arms, later returned to the house where the blood stain at the door would have been made. This would also explain why Alfie and Shirley didn't hear anything at all.

    I always say, that those who "believe" should go to church on Sunday. Believing doesn't mean much in a murder investigation. It is only an indication that the Gardai is investigating into a certain direction based on the leads, or very few leads or old leads and some hearsay they have coupled with the general lack of evidence. They probably came back to this line of enquiry on whether Bailey knew Sophie or not as there is total lack of every other evidence.

    We also don't know how that DNA re-examination is going to go, how long it takes to get results, and even if the results are credible. I would also guess loads of people, first and foremost Guards handled the matter in an unprofessional way, thus anybody's DNA could easily have been on clothes, gotten there later on, after the murder, etc…

    Other than that, it's a fact that in the majority of killings, killer and victim knew each other or had some other dealing/ or whatever relationship / business going on. It would be the basis of a motive. But nearly 30 years on, we can all only speculate about the motive.

    Bailey could have done it, but so could have all the others.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 253 ✭✭champchamp


    But Alfie was up from 6am or so, he would almost certainly have heard the commotion (whatever about not hearing anything when he was asleep).



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 556 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    He said any noise was blocked by the conservatory I believe.

    However he wasn’t deaf so he should have had deep questioning about things he did hear. Creaks, animals, car horns etc. their house was only half a km from a main road over the hill.

    That he heard nothing at all isn’t credible imo. However anything he did hear could have easily been dismissed, which is more likely imo. Shirley in particular never made the claim she didn’t hear anything as far as I can tell



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 556 ✭✭✭jesuisjuste


    Multiple hits of DNA would be a good problem to have, one of course is preferable. Then a proper investigation could begin. They already have one who is not Sophie or Bailey. Start with that



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