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Why has the €20 Billion deficit not reduced ?.

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Comments

  • Closed Accounts Posts: 491 ✭✭doomed


    When you take money out of an economy, whether this is through pay cuts or inceased tax you depress domestic demand, hence less employment, VAT and income tax and more social welfare. People also save more. It is extremely difficult to break out of this downward spiral.

    This is why there is no real alternative to looking at taxes based on wealth and property as part of the mix. A lot of people made a lot of money during the boom. For those still sitting on it, time to cough up a bit.

    The problem when paople talk about this is we all view it through the prism of self interest.

    social welfare is a handout; business grants are incentives
    my pay cut is unfair; yours is necessary
    minimum wage is too high; my professional fees are fair (you do know I went to college?)
    we must cut public spending; leave our hospital alone


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,007 ✭✭✭sollar


    doomed wrote: »
    When you take money out of an economy, whether this is through pay cuts or inceased tax you depress domestic demand, hence less employment, VAT and income tax and more social welfare. People also save more. It is extremely difficult to break out of this downward spiral.

    This is why there is no real alternative to looking at taxes based on wealth and property as part of the mix. A lot of people made a lot of money during the boom. For those still sitting on it, time to cough up a bit.

    The problem when paople talk about this is we all view it through the prism of self interest.

    social welfare is a handout; business grants are incentives
    my pay cut is unfair; yours is necessary
    minimum wage is too high; my professional fees are fair (you do know I went to college?)
    we must cut public spending; leave our hospital alone

    Apparently there is 135billion in savings belonging to Irish people. We need to get alot of that money moving in the economy through spending and we need to get at it through taxes.

    Taking money of poor and working poor people who spend what they have anyway is not the solution.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,080 ✭✭✭Finnbar01


    sollar wrote: »
    Apparently there is 135billion in savings belonging to Irish people. We need to get alot of that money moving in the economy through spending and we need to get at it through taxes.

    Taking money of poor and working poor people who spend what they have anyway is not the solution.

    Are you assuming that it is the well off who have €135 billion in savings?

    Because if you are, you're wrong.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 10,012 ✭✭✭✭thebman


    sollar wrote: »
    Apparently there is 135billion in savings belonging to Irish people. We need to get alot of that money moving in the economy through spending and we need to get at it through taxes.

    Taking money of poor and working poor people who spend what they have anyway is not the solution.

    And if you go after their savings they will be taking out of the banks to protect them and the banks will be screwed again and need more money from the state.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    Finnbar01 wrote: »
    Are you assuming that it is the well off who have €135 billion in savings?

    Because if you are, you're wrong.


    Well it is the not the homeless poor or those who are struggling to pay bills who have €135 billion in savings, so it must be people who are relatively well-off.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,080 ✭✭✭Finnbar01


    Godge wrote: »
    Well it is the not the homeless poor or those who are struggling to pay bills who have €135 billion in savings, so it must be people who are relatively well-off.


    Plenty of people who are living on the breadline have savings. Do you think that only rich people save? Do you think that you are entitled to other people's money?


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,989 ✭✭✭✭murphaph


    sollar wrote: »
    Apparently there is 135billion in savings belonging to Irish people. We need to get alot of that money moving in the economy through spending and we need to get at it through taxes.
    What you mean is: You want the government to grab money from anywhere they can get it and use it to maintain the boom time wages of the public service.

    It's despicable.

    What we need to do is facilitate an EXPORT led recovery. That means NOT taxing the balls off of anyone who might have the gumption to actually set up a business and export sh!t. The domestic economy should NOT be of much importance to us. We should be focusing all our efforts on exporting.

    If people have been prudent and NOT engaged in mad property speculation and actually saved (there are some of them out there!) then why should the state take that (already taxed!) money off them to pay a teacher 60 or 70 thousand Euro a year to deliver 26th grade maths results???

    Our deficit problem is one of over-spending. There's a few bob to be raised in increased taxes but very little. We are not a land of Robert Bosch's, Thyssen Krupp's and Mercedes Benz's. We are a small land, almost totally dependent on FDI for our economic existence. We need to be a lean, mean state and we aren't. We don't have the luxury of others to raise taxation. If it's raised, companies and individuals capable of starting them will just leave.

    The gravy train is over. The government just haven't realised it yet. Come next year the IMF will be applying pressure to show real savings and they'll only come from large spending cuts.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    Finnbar01 wrote: »
    Plenty of people who are living on the breadline have savings. Do you think that only rich people save? Do you think that you are entitled to other people's money?


    If you are living on the breadline, you don't have savings, period. Spend them, then you are no longer living on the breadline.


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    murphaph wrote: »
    What you mean is: You want the government to grab money from anywhere they can get it and use it to maintain the boom time wages of the public service.

    It's despicable.

    What we need to do is facilitate an EXPORT led recovery. That means NOT taxing the balls off of anyone who might have the gumption to actually set up a business and export sh!t. The domestic economy should NOT be of much importance to us. We should be focusing all our efforts on exporting.

    If people have been prudent and NOT engaged in mad property speculation and actually saved (there are some of them out there!) then why should the state take that (already taxed!) money off them to pay a teacher 60 or 70 thousand Euro a year to deliver 26th grade maths results???

    Our deficit problem is one of over-spending. There's a few bob to be raised in increased taxes but very little. We are not a land of Robert Bosch's, Thyssen Krupp's and Mercedes Benz's. We are a small land, almost totally dependent on FDI for our economic existence. We need to be a lean, mean state and we aren't. We don't have the luxury of others to raise taxation. If it's raised, companies and individuals capable of starting them will just leave.

    The gravy train is over. The government just haven't realised it yet. Come next year the IMF will be applying pressure to show real savings and they'll only come from large spending cuts.


    If they have savings, they are not spending the money in the domestic economy to boost growth. Neither are they investing it in export-led businesses to boost growth. Tax the savings and they might do one or the other. Simple.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,173 ✭✭✭Flex


    Godge wrote: »
    If they have savings, they are not spending the money in the domestic economy to boost growth. Neither are they investing it in export-led businesses to boost growth. Tax the savings and they might do one or the other. Simple.

    Do you mean increasing DIRT tax or something, or the government actually seizing peoples savings?


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,007 ✭✭✭sollar


    murphaph wrote: »
    What you mean is: You want the government to grab money from anywhere they can get it and use it to maintain the boom time wages of the public service.

    It's despicable.

    Thanks very much murphaph for telling me what i mean. Some people are just a little too obsessed with the public service. Its not healthy.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,476 ✭✭✭ardmacha


    You want the government to grab money from anywhere they can get it and use it to maintain the boom time wages of the public service.

    This is not possible, the boom time salaries of public servants have already been reduced.

    The problem is not the public service. who have been reduced in pay and number and will be reduced. The problem is the large number of persons not working. It is the duty of all citizens, not just those in the public service, to provide for these people.
    What we need to do is facilitate an EXPORT led recovery. That means NOT taxing the balls off of anyone who might have the gumption to actually set up a business and export sh!t.

    As you have pointed out yourself, some property taxes etc are preferable to huge income taxes on those who work.
    Come next year the IMF will be applying pressure to show real savings and they'll only come from large spending cuts.

    Ah yes. Those buck eejits at the IMF will see that the Boards.ie economy forum was right all along.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,989 ✭✭✭✭murphaph


    ardmacha wrote: »
    Ah yes. Those buck eejits at the IMF will see that the Boards.ie economy forum was right all along.
    I was right in 2001 when I realised FF were taking us down the wrong path. A path of property dependent taxes and a lack of focus on export industries (I saw it myself as jobs were being lost and colleagues began taking up work in the building sector). I KNEW it would end in tears and I was in a minority as the general populace continued to support the "petrol on the bonfire" policies of FF and their coalition partners. I was right then and I'm right now.

    You place far too much faith in banker and politician types to follow the right path. I'll say it loud and clear: A country with such a large percentage deficit cannot tax its way out of the problems, nor deal with them through natural wastage in its public service. We need public servants after all. We just can't afford to pay them so much.

    Mark my words-more severe cuts will be required in the next couple of years. The growth predicted by the DoF and ACCEPTED by the IMF (the guys you seem to think have a much better understanding of the Irish problem than an average Irish person like myself) have been woefully over-optimistic.

    The growth is not there. Increasing taxes (beyond a couple of billion a year) will not lead to increased economic activity, rather the opposite. That leaves only one option: spending cuts. They are on the way.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,221 ✭✭✭bobbysands81


    fliball123 wrote: »
    Numerous reasons the interest on the loans to repaid has to be factored in and PS pay increments have gobbled up the majority of what was saved via PS wage cuts.

    A dangerously false statement.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,989 ✭✭✭✭murphaph


    Godge wrote: »
    If they have savings, they are not spending the money in the domestic economy to boost growth. Neither are they investing it in export-led businesses to boost growth. Tax the savings and they might do one or the other. Simple.
    Tax savings and they will move them offshore (legally) and you'll get even LESS in tax revenue than presently!


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 18,989 ✭✭✭✭murphaph


    sollar wrote: »
    Thanks very much murphaph for telling me what i mean. Some people are just a little too obsessed with the public service. Its not healthy.
    A blind eye has been turned to it for long enough ;)


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 6,388 ✭✭✭gbee


    Has somebody already mentioned the report in one of today's papers, are read over the morning show on 96fm, Cork, that Public Service pay had actually risen 3% over the private sector, despite pay cuts balahdedebalh?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,007 ✭✭✭sollar


    gbee wrote: »
    Has somebody already mentioned the report in one of today's papers, are read over the morning show on 96fm, Cork, that Public Service pay had actually risen 3% over the private sector, despite pay cuts balahdedebalh?

    They also said this was due mainly to reduced hours in the private sector. Its a nothing story.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,080 ✭✭✭Finnbar01


    Godge wrote: »
    If you are living on the breadline, you don't have savings, period. Spend them, then you are no longer living on the breadline.


    Ever hear of a rainy day?


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 21,727 ✭✭✭✭Godge


    Finnbar01 wrote: »
    Ever hear of a rainy day?


    If it is not a rainy day when you are on the breadline.....


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  • Closed Accounts Posts: 2,350 ✭✭✭gigino


    Public sector pay here is stil nearly double what it is the the UK / across the border....just like social welfare + pensions.

    Cut the lot. ...slash the 20 billion deficit.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,922 ✭✭✭Coillte_Bhoy


    Godge wrote: »
    If it is not a rainy day when you are on the breadline.....


    Always a rainy day in this country


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,922 ✭✭✭Coillte_Bhoy


    gigino wrote: »
    Public sector pay here is stil nearly double what it is the the UK / across the border....just like social welfare + pensions.

    Cut the lot. ...slash the 20 billion deficit.

    You have really thought this thriugh havent you?:rolleyes:


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    sollar wrote: »
    Thanks very much murphaph for telling me what i mean. Some people are just a little too obsessed with the public service. Its not healthy.

    Sollar when you hear of the different scandals/perks and sense of entitlement and when ps postes are stating 2billion have been saved in the different measures implemented through the CPA and penion levy etc...and then you factor in that in the first 6 months of the year on income tax alone the tax payer has paid 2billion more in the first 6 months alone than 2010...So in 6 months the tax payer has paid the same as the cuts/savings (some which cant be measured in money terms and are guesses) ... Yet the PS want to push more taxes on people and push cuts on those on the dole..As well as saying shi1te like tax people who have savings (ie rise the DIRT Tax)...Thats why people are obsessed with the Public sector and it is healthy for the sake of this country it would be healthy to have a lean efficient public servant not the obess fat bloated Public sector that we have...


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    A dangerously false statement.


    How is it too date as one of your colleagues pointed out that 2billion has been saved on PS cuts, saving measures under the CPA and the pension levy..That has been spread out over the last 4 years...4 years of increments according to Mr Rabbit is currently costing 1/4 of billion a year so over the last 4 years with the increments come to 2 billion so infact it is a dangerously true statement


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,600 ✭✭✭fliball123


    sollar wrote: »
    They also said this was due mainly to reduced hours in the private sector. Its a nothing story.

    So you think the hardship of private sector employees who have had their hours and wage cuts deeply is a nothing story...Good Public servant give yourself an increment


  • Closed Accounts Posts: 1 High Noon


    You have really thought this thriugh havent you?:rolleyes:

    What hasn't he thought through? Is it that closing the deficit by materially cutting spending will cause a catastrophic collapse of output from the Irish economy?

    Well maybe he has thought it through. Maybe he realises that the economy would crash. And maybe he thinks that that may not be a bad thing.

    Let's face it; too much of the Irish economy is fake. Five years ago we had fake demand created by reckless banking and construction sectors. Now we have fake demand created by ongoing reckless government borrowing.

    There's probably 15% of spurious GDP that needs to be let go. Trying to keep the fake economy spluttering along is killing us. It's misguided pseudo-Keynesian borrow-till-the-cows-come-home rubbish.

    I'd be happy for Ireland to keep borrowing if we were borrowing to sustain something worthwhile. But we're not. We're borrowing to sustain a fantasy. A fantasy that says little gombean Ireland can have the highest paid politicians, public servants and unemployed in the world. A fantasy that should be consigned to the dustbin of history with Bertie and the Celtic Tiger.

    Economic Armageddon would help reset our dysfunctional economy. Let's stop trying to keep up appearances. Cut the deficit. Take the pain. Start again and next time let's build a genuinely sound economy that our great country can be genuinely proud of.

    If it means we have to suffer a huge hit to our standard of living, then so be it. If it means may salary is slashed further, so be it. If it means a spike in unemployment, then so be it.

    I am ready to take the hit. I am ready to lose ownership of my home. I am ready to help those that might suffer more than me. I am ready to see Ireland face up to the reality of the situation that we have found ourselves in.

    We can get through it if we pull together, help each other, and revive our fading sense of community. We might get back some of what was lost during those horrid bubble years. Remember when Irish people used to care more about their neighbours than their bling? Well maybe economic Armageddon would force us to realise what's really important. Our friends, our family and our communities. Not car loans and credit cards.

    The bubble wasn't normal. We shouldn't be trying to revive that kind of econmomy. Let's stop looking back 10 years and let's start looking back 20 to when we were a bit poorer, but we had hope. Let's take the pain fast and hard and get back to having a future worth looking forward to.


  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,086 ✭✭✭Nijmegen


    With debt interest repayments - the ultimate in dead money - going to surpass 1/3 of all the tax we take, this continued borrowing is unsustainable.

    Meanwhile tax increases have not shrunk the deficit.

    I think Ireland needs to accept that, as far as government is concerned, it's a €30something billion a year country now, not a €50something billion a year country we'd like to be.


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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,693 ✭✭✭Laminations


    What does the non-voted expenditure consist of? Bank recapitalization (especially for AIB) I believe.

    Anyway it accounts for 13,000,000,000 of our expenditure, take that away and the deficit is only 5bn.

    Can someone clarify what it consists of?


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