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Sunday (1000 Guineas)

  • 01-05-2016 01:44PM
    #1
    uxiant
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 282 ✭✭


    Mix And Mingle looks overpriced at 65 on the exchanges. Has a lot to find on paper but the trainer's runners tend to improve a ton for the run and she progressed again to finish 4th in the Nell Gywn. The ground would have been too soft for her as well so the better ground and step up to a mile should all bring improvement. With so much scope to improve from her last run and I can't let her go unbacked at the prices.

    Not sure on Minding because she seems a lazy filly at home and they might not be able to get her in tip top shape first time out. She'll probably be fine on the ground but will be seen to best effect with a bit of cut in the ground. Alice Springs looks the overpriced Coolmore runner at 20 on the machine as she was able to get pretty close to her stablemates last season and has yet to have the opportunity to run over a mile on quick ground. Her Leopardstown run is best forgiven as she was just out for the spin on ground far too heavy.


Comments

  • #2
    uxiant
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 282 ✭✭uxiant


    Captain Bob is also a big price in the 3.00 race. Would have gone close off 87 at Haydock last season if he got a clear run and two runs on ground too soft this year have allowed him to drop to a mark of 81. He shaped well enough on his last start as well travelling well enough but tired once he got some daylight in testing conditions. Should be able to get involved off a mark of 81 on summer ground. 18/1 on Betfair.


  • #3
    diomed
    Closed Accounts Posts: 4,744 ✭✭✭diomed


    My pick in the 1000 Guineas is Midweek. I haven't bet yet as the price has dropped to 16.5.
    Took €100 at 15s.


  • #4
    gazza1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,137 ✭✭✭gazza1


    Ive had an ew on ALICE SPRINGS at 16s


  • #5
    Gregk961
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,135 ✭✭✭Gregk961


    Lumiere has drifted to the point I have to have an ew bet. Wouldn't be too confident about anything winning


  • #6
    BorneTobyWilde
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 37,315 ✭✭✭✭BorneTobyWilde


    Blue Bayou EW for me
    THink it can run into a place


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  • #7
    sword1
    Closed Accounts Posts: 1,991 ✭✭✭sword1


    diomed wrote: »
    My pick in the 1000 Guineas is Midweek. I haven't bet yet as the price has dropped to 16.5.

    Put a win bet on Midweek, hopefully


  • #8
    longshotvalue
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 4,474 ✭✭✭longshotvalue


    BorneTobyWilde wrote: »
    Blue Bayou EW for me
    THink it can run into a place

    I'm on this one as well. 50/1 looks big..


  • #9
    kksaints
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,044 ✭✭✭kksaints


    Impressive from Minding there. Ballydoyle ran well having been outpaced early, could be one for the Oaks.


  • #10
    posturingpat
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,725 ✭✭✭posturingpat


    uxiant wrote: »
    Captain Bob is also a big price in the 3.00 race. Would have gone close off 87 at Haydock last season if he got a clear run and two runs on ground too soft this year have allowed him to drop to a mark of 81. He shaped well enough on his last start as well travelling well enough but tired once he got some daylight in testing conditions. Should be able to get involved off a mark of 81 on summer ground. 18/1 on Betfair.

    One for the tracker, caught my eye as a no jigger today.


  • #11
    gazza1
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 1,137 ✭✭✭gazza1


    gazza1 wrote: »
    Ive had an ew on ALICE SPRINGS at 16s
    Add your reply here.
    Glad with the place but Minding just different class


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  • #12
    Lt Dan
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,295 ✭✭✭Lt Dan


    diomed wrote: »
    My pick in the 1000 Guineas is Midweek. I haven't bet yet as the price has dropped to 16.5.
    Took €100 at 15s.

    I did not have on bet on this race but I had hoped Midweek would have ran better than she did. Was intending to back her but for the jockey and his lack of experienc at Newmarket. She clearly was not the Juddmonte first choice with Antone orginally (but she blew it in that Group 1 last year - injury and ran no race on appearance) Midweek ran well for the 7f in France a few weeks ago, it suggested that she needed further. She has pedigree to run further

    I kinda wished that they put another jockey on her today. (I know he has done brilliantly since coming to the flats and is a French Derby winner - great ride on New Bay) I know she is a bit big, I know she probably does not have the class for a big 8 f race but the French tactics (slow at start and sprint - which this horse does not has a turn of foot, yet) did not work. Just wished that he gave her a bit of a quicker start and use her stamina


  • #13
    posturingpat
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,725 ✭✭✭posturingpat


    Sam Missile big e/w shout in Newm 5.25, wasn't exactly spot on for his debut but won easy and they think he'll have improved plenty and is a 90+ rated animal, lookms a potentially decent field but he's well liked.


  • #14
    posturingpat
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,725 ✭✭✭posturingpat


    posturingpat wrote: »
    Sam Missile big e/w shout in Newm 5.25, wasn't exactly spot on for his debut but won easy and they think he'll have improved plenty and is a 90+ rated animal, lookms a potentially decent field but he's well liked.

    No use, 5th of 8 and green as grass, will come on for it but will have to to match lofty ambitions. :o


  • #15
    Wicklow Brave
    Closed Accounts Posts: 492 ✭✭Wicklow Brave


    Minding for the Derby, I wanna see a filly win the Derby in my lifetime!


  • #16
    sting60
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,340 ✭✭✭sting60


    Ladbrokes which have been associated with Ballydoyle for sometime with Mike Dillon quote Minding at 5/2 for Derby.It seems based on that and the running of Air Force Blue that Ballydoyle have no colts of any worthwhile ability this season.A lot of hope will rest with US Army Ranger at Chester but the cupboard looks very bare.At this stage 5/1 Midterm is a serious player big time.On breeding the distance is perfect and his run at Sandown was a serious piece of work.If US Army Ranger struggles then 5/1 Midterm will be just a memory.


  • #17
    BumperD
    Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,681 ✭✭✭BumperD


    Wonder how strong that link is since the sale to Coral? They had mindling 11/4 3 weeks before the Guineas when the rest of the firms were 2/1 & 7/4.


  • #18
    Lt Dan
    Banned (with Prison Access) Posts: 2,295 ✭✭✭Lt Dan


    BumperD wrote: »
    Wonder how strong that link is since the sale to Coral? They had mindling 11/4 3 weeks before the Guineas when the rest of the firms were 2/1 & 7/4.

    Doesn't JP McManus and The Kaizer have stakes in Ladbrookes? Normally when you see JP , Magnier is not far behind?


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