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Vaccine Megathread No 2 - Read OP before posting

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Comments

  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 512 ✭✭✭robinbird


    No such issues here given how much we have held back in storage.

    Vaccinating young children is going to be contentious. Assume they will have to be "volunteered" by their parents. Possible those that refuse won't be allowed back to school in September.

    White House press spokeswoman has just make an important announcement on this issue.

    https://twitter.com/markusallenshow/status/1415476298957344772?s=19



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 6,539 ✭✭✭Wolf359f


    Yes our 1 million Pfizer stockpile. Your figures have been disproven.

    "volunteered" well, children cannot consent, so yes it's the parents choice. The same with the dozen or so vaccines they "volunteered" their kids for when they infants. There's absolutely no way unvaccinated kids would be refused back in schools in September (barring some crazy variant that's more harmful to kids) Doesn't stop you peddling the same aul rubbish



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,730 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    That's from a couple of days ago and she clearly tripped over her words. I assume she meant 'Covid can still kill you, even if you are under the age of 27'.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 512 ✭✭✭robinbird


    Maybe she meant what she said. As far as I am aware no children have died from covid in Ireland.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 20,730 ✭✭✭✭Strazdas


    She said 'it's important to get vaccinated, vaccines are safe' literally a second before this - saying that vaccines kill people in the same sentence would make no sense whatsoever. I assume she meant to say that Covid is killing even young people, but tripped over her words.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 512 ✭✭✭robinbird


    I was being facetious. Of course she didn't mean to say it. It was merely a Freudian slip.

    However young children have died in the States after receiving a vaccine

    And the UK vaccine advisory group recommendation against a children's vaccination campaign which has now been accepted by the UK govt was that children were at a higher risk from the vaccine than from covid. Serious illness from covid in children is extremely rare.

    Officialy the Irish govt has not made a decision yet but all indications are that children are next.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 5,581 ✭✭✭JTMan


    https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/under-16s-to-get-covid-jabs-this-summer-dr89zkrtk

    A few interesting points in the Sunday Times article (mentioned above too in the Tweet):

    • The government still has no delivery date for one million vaccines it has agreed to buy from Romania. A government source said the delay is being caused by “delivery schedules” and “operational issues” involving discussions between the EU, member states and vaccine manufacturers.
    • “mix and match” vaccine booster programme in the autumn for at-risk adults. This means those who have already had a double dose of an mRNA vaccine — Pfizer or Moderna — would be given a booster shot of a viral vector, AstraZeneca or Janssen, and vice versa.
    • Vaccine programme likely to be extended to (1) those at high risk of severe disease between the ages of 12 and 15, and then (2) 16 and 17 year olds and then (3) to all 12-15 year olds.

    Good to see that an expansion of the programme to 12-17 year olds seems to be on the cards. The sooner this can be done in advance of schools reopening the better.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 8,686 ✭✭✭RabbleRouser2k


    Some folks I know were able to get the J and j vaccine, by registering with their local pharmacy.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 397 ✭✭quartz1


    I read today that the one million vaccine purchase from Romania isn't progrrssing very well and the EU.are involved suggesting they should be returned to a central pool.

    A pre by election instance of kite flying I suggest



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    It would be nice to know where you read it. Central pool idea seems very odd especially if Romania has already been assigned them.



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 646 ✭✭✭john_doe.


    Vaccinating children is mad really I think, and if this becomes a requirement for school we have really descended to new place. We spent so long listening to children are not spreaders or affected etc..

    It's still under emergency approval, there seems to be little to no risk to children of Covid, so why would they even go there.

    Like to see data on risk of vaccine vs risk of Covid to under 16s to justify vaccinating children.

    Children all around country are in summer camps, gaa training -they seem pretty okay without this vaccine.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    No decision has been made one way or the other but a plan still needs to be there. Part of the thinking is that as we put pressure on SARS-COV-2 through vaccination it will seek out large unvaccinated pools, like kids.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 30,476 ✭✭✭✭Lumen


    The way I see it we have to choose from one of three paths:

    1. Put severe pressure on all eligible adults to get vaccinated, and hope that we achieve herd immunity despite all evidence to the contrary.
    2. Offer vaccination for kids.
    3. Live with high levels of infection amongst kids until herd immunity is achieved among them.

    w.r.t (1), ironically we now have the moral reverse of the state of play up to this point: we are hoping for the remaining unvaccinated adults to take action (get vaccinated) in order to save us from having to give those vaccines to children. Will they do it? Unlikely IMO. Most of of antivaxxers I know don't have kids and don't particularly like them (that's not a criticism btw).

    As far as (2) or (3) is concerned, I think it's rightly a matter of parental choice. I would personally prefer to vaccinate my kids, because whilst I see the risks of the vaccines and the virus to be both similarly small and uncertain, it is kinder both to society as a whole and to the subset of immunocompromised and otherwise vulnerable people to do what we can to stamp it out, and evidence suggests that immunity conferred by the vaccines is stronger than from infection.

    Whatever course we choose, the pandemic has taught us that weak policy executed slowly leads of poor outcomes.

    Just one obvious maths point - there are probably only around 250k 12-15 year olds in the country. That's equivalent to around 6% of the currently eligible population. We could easily achieve the same vaccination level by pushing up vaccinations in the under 40s. Would it have the same epidemiological effect? Doubtful. Is it morally right to nudge/coerce adults to be vaccinated so as to avoid vaccinating kids? Don't know.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,642 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    Very interesting correlation between sales of Ice Cream and Delta cases in Ireland over the last two weeks.

    The more Ice Cream we've consumed, the steeper the increases in cases.

    Of course that's a really stupid connection to make, as we all know correlation is not the same as causation.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 7,206 ✭✭✭Lucas Hood


    She was ale to register yesterday using pps so it looks like hospital/hse never done it first time.

    She did get a text message a few weeks back that they were focusing on women 28 weeks + but that's no good to her seen as she can get it with her age group now. No sense waiting 12 weeks for 28 weeks to come around.

    Rang hse last night and guy on phone said she could register with her age group as normal. He didn't fill us with confidence though.



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 14,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭pc7


    Sorry if it’s been discussed I’m lost on new touch site :) did we receive the million doses from Romania yet?



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 12,561 Mod ✭✭✭✭Amirani


    It's not emergency approval they got from the EMA, it's normal approval.


    That said, I don't see them becoming a requirement for school.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 547 ✭✭✭RugbyLad11




  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 32,132 ✭✭✭✭is_that_so


    Based on what exactly? Here's what Martin said this week.


    Vaccines from Romania

    Meanwhile, he said he could not confirm when one million Covid-19 vaccine doses will be delivered from Romania.

    It was reported at the weekend that the deal is not yet finalised with issues under discussion including the expiration dates of available vaccines and the information on doses not being in English.

    The Government is also in discussions with other EU Member States on the possibility of buying vaccines.

    Speaking at a press conference Mr Martin said there was a “good meeting” last week between the Irish and Romanian health departments.

    “Those discussions are continuing and progress has been made in relation to it.”

    He said: “We’ve also had discussions with other Member States and again those discussions are ongoing in respect of arranging vaccines but they have not come to a conclusion yet.”

    Asked when it is expected that the vaccines from Romania will be delivered he said: “I haven’t the timeline yet on that”.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 512 ✭✭✭robinbird


    if we maintain current rate of vaccinations with GPs, pharmacies and MVCs participating. we will have completed our current vaccination program by end of July.

    By then every over 18 will have been offered a vaccine. Approx 400,000 second doses left for August

    Quite likely by then we will have overtaken the other major European countries that have finished.

    We then enter murkier moral waters.

    How much pressure will be put on remaining unvaccinated adults to comply. Do we start on the children? Will we begin giving out third jabs?

    For example Malta has banned all 12-16 year old children that have not taken a vaccine from going on holidays with their parents within the country.

    interesting times ahead.



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  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,642 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    Where are you getting completion of the vaccination program in 13 days?



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 512 ✭✭✭robinbird


    I have gone into details ad nasaeum over multiple posts here over last few days. Some disagree and are claiming we have no vaccines in storage or numbers left are much higher but have no desire to go into it again. We"ll just have to wait till the end of the month to see who's right.

    My projections are

    First mRNA remaining 250,000

    Janssen remaining 150,000

    July 2nd dose remaining 100,000

    That's 500,000. If we can administer 300,000 a week we will be finished by end of month..



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,642 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    So nobody in the country other than you imagines there's even the remotest chance that the vaccine program will be completed it 13 days.

    Thanks

    That's what I though, just wanted to be sure I hadn't missed anything.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 11,776 ✭✭✭✭ACitizenErased


    Some people clearly know more than the HSE 🤨



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 512 ✭✭✭robinbird


    We'll only have to wait 13 days to see who's right and who's wrong.. That's my prediction. Everyone over 18 to be offered first dose by end of July.



  • Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 17,642 Mod ✭✭✭✭Graham


    Ohhh, I see the nice reshuffling of the definition of complete there

    Sneaky 😉

    I wouldn't be surprised to see registration opened up to all age groups. Do I think they'll all be vaccinated by then. No

    Will that mean the vaccination program is complete. No



  • Posts: 939 ✭✭✭ [Deleted User]


    There are approx 800,000 adults that have not received anything yet. If you presume 90% uptake overall that leaves 420,000. If you use Janssen for 100,000 of these that leaves 320,000 needing double doses so 640,000, we also have circa 600,000 waiting on their second dose. There's about 1.3m doses to go for adults.



  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 2,664 ✭✭✭Doyler92


    Anybody know of a pharmacy anywhere in Dublin that someone could go to get this week?



  • Moderators, Entertainment Moderators, Society & Culture Moderators Posts: 14,287 Mod ✭✭✭✭pc7


    Ah sh1teballs, thanks I couldn’t find anything online



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  • Registered Users, Registered Users 2 Posts: 3,583 ✭✭✭VG31


    I registered with four pharmacies in Dublin. I've heard nothing from three of them. The other sent an email pretty much saying that demand far exceeded supply and I was very unlikely to get a vaccine there. I've pretty much given up any hope of getting one from a pharmacy TBH.



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